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Volume 10, Number 4—April 2004
Research

Epidemiologic Determinants for Modeling Pneumonic Plague Outbreaks

Raymond Gani*Comments to Author  and Steve Leach*
Author affiliations: *Centre for Applied Microbiology & Research, Wilts, United Kingdom

Main Article

Figure 3

Epidemic curves for outbreaks in the Table and from the model. The curves plot cumulative cases at time of onset. Day 0 is the time of onset of index case, the circles represent the times at which disease control measures begin, those without circles ended without public health interventions. Dotted lines indicate missing data. The thicker yellow line represents the upper 95 percentile from the epidemic model, which rises roughly exponentially to a value of 256 by day 35.

Figure 3. Epidemic curves for outbreaks in the Table and from the model. The curves plot cumulative cases at time of onset. Day 0 is the time of onset of index case, the circles represent the times at which disease control measures begin, those without circles ended without public health interventions. Dotted lines indicate missing data. The thicker yellow line represents the upper 95 percentile from the epidemic model, which rises roughly exponentially to a value of 256 by day 35.

Main Article

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Page updated: February 09, 2011
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