TY - JOUR AU - Nap, Raoul E. AU - Andriessen, Maarten P.H.M. AU - Meessen, Nico E.L. AU - van der Werf, Tjip S. T1 - Pandemic Influenza and Hospital Resources T2 - Emerging Infectious Disease journal PY - 2007 VL - 13 IS - 11 SP - 1714 SN - 1080-6059 AB - Using estimates from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, the World Health Organization, and published models of the expected evolution of pandemic influenza, we modeled the surge capacity of healthcare facility and intensive care unit (ICU) requirements over time in northern Netherlands (≈1.7 million population). We compared the demands of various scenarios with estimates of maximum ICU capacity, factoring in healthcare worker absenteeism as well as reported and realistic estimates derived from semistructured telephone interviews with key management in ICUs in the study area. We show that even during the peak of the pandemic, most patients requiring ICU admission may be served, even those who have non–influenza-related conditions, provided that strong indications and decision-making rules are maintained for admission as well as for continuation (or discontinuation) of life support. Such a model should be integral to a preparedness plan for a pandemic with a new human-transmissible agent. KW - the Netherlands DO - 10.3201/eid1311.070103 UR - https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/eid/article/13/11/07-0103_article ER - End of Reference