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Volume 21, Number 8—August 2015
Research

Development of Framework for Assessing Influenza Virus Pandemic Risk

Susan C. TrockComments to Author , Stephen A. Burke, and Nancy J. Cox
Author affiliations: Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA (S.C. Trock, S.A. Burke, N.J. Cox); Battelle, Atlanta (S.A. Burke)

Main Article

Figure 2

Influenza Risk Assessment Tool scores for 4 influenza viruses on the basis of potential risk to achieve “sustained human-to-human transmission” (emergence) and potential risk “for significant impact on public health” (impact). Black squares in top right quadrant and lower left quadrant represent risk scores for H5N1 clade 1 and H1N1, respectively. White triangle represents risk score for H7N9 in mid-April 2013; white square represents risk score for the same virus in mid-May 2013. Gray triangle

Figure 2. Influenza Risk Assessment Tool scores for 4 influenza viruses on the basis of potential risk to achieve “sustained human-to-human transmission” (emergence) and potential risk “for significant impact on public health” (impact). Black squares in top right quadrant and lower left quadrant represent risk scores for H5N1 clade 1 and H1N1, respectively. White triangle represents risk score for H7N9 in mid-April 2013; white square represents risk score for the same virus in mid-May 2013. Gray triangle represents risk score for H3N2v as of December 2011; gray square represents risk score for same virus in December 2012. Emergence risk is the risk summary score for the question, “What is the risk that a virus not currently circulating in the human population has the potential for sustained human-to-human transmission?” Impact risk is the risk summary score for the question, “If the virus were to achieve sustained human-to-human transmission, what is the risk that a virus not currently circulating in the human population has the potential for significant impact on public health?”

Main Article

Page created: July 14, 2015
Page updated: July 14, 2015
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The conclusions, findings, and opinions expressed by authors contributing to this journal do not necessarily reflect the official position of the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, the Public Health Service, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, or the authors' affiliated institutions. Use of trade names is for identification only and does not imply endorsement by any of the groups named above.
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