Volume 22, Number 4—April 2016
Dispatch
Nontyphoidal Salmonella Infection, Guangdong Province, China, 20121
Xi Huang2, Qiong Huang2, Zhongjun Dun, Wei Huang, Shuyu Wu, Junhua Liang, Xiaoling Deng, and Yonghui Zhang
Table 2
Results of Monte Carlo simulation characterizing the uncertainty about the number of cases and the passive surveillance multipliers and the annual reported and estimated cases and incidence of nontyphoidal Salmonella infections, Guangdong Province, China, 2012
| Age group, y | Annual no. cases, median (95% CI) | Multipliers, median (95% CI) | No. cases |
Annual incidence, cases/100,000 |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reported | Estimated (95% CI) | Reported | Estimated (95% CI) | ||||
| 0–4 | 87,195 (68,367–138,725) | 209.6 (168.5–332.1) | 415 | 87,195 (68,367–138,725) | 6.13 | 1,287.9 (1,009.8–2,049.0) | |
| 5–24 | 222,558 (90,222–1,376,278) | 605.3 (248.9–3720.3) | 367 | 222,558 (90,222–1,376,278) | 0.90 | 547.7 (222.0–3387.1) | |
| 25–44 | 119,409 (49,292–488,534) | 1038.3 (436.4–4250.9) | 115 | 119,409 (49,292–488,534) | 0.32 | 333.4 (137.6–1,364.1) | |
| 45–64 | 18,577 (11,400–36,234) | 320.2 (216.8–603.2) | 58 | 18,577 (11,400–36,234) | 0.40 | 126.6 (77.7–247.0) | |
| >65 |
16,421
(8,351–42,273) |
457.1
(259.7–1156.5) |
36 |
16,421
(8,351–42,273) |
0.56 |
255.1
(129.7–656.8) |
|
| Overall | 408,499 (302,899–591,901) | 411.9 (308.4–592.7) | 991 | 408,499 (302,899–591,901) | 0.95 | 391.6 (290.3–567.4) | |
1Preliminary results from this study were presented at the 2015 International Conference on Emerging Infectious Diseases (board 189), August 24–26, 2015, Atlanta, Georgia, USA.
2These authors contributed equally to this article.
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