Volume 22, Number 7—July 2016
Travel-Associated Rabies in Pets and Residual Rabies Risk, Western Europe
||No. pets without signs of rabies
||No. days of pet contagiousness for rabies attributed to pet transport||Estimation of probability for contact on a given day with a pet that is contagious for rabies attributed to pet transport|
|Pets with rabies signs
|Belgium||16||16||0||5||5||0||21||21||0||1.38 × 10–9||3.32 × 10–9||0|
|France||91||81||10||67||63||4||158||144||14||1.79 × 10–9||3.99 × 10–9||2.69 × 10–10|
|Germany||32||32||0||31||31||0||63||63||0||9.83 × 10–10||2.50 × 10–9||0|
|The Netherlands||1||1||0||4||4||0||5||5||0||2.41 × 10–10||7.05 × 10–10||0|
|Spain||22||22||0||6||6||0||28||28||0||7.28 × 10–10||1.25 × 10–9||0|
|Switzerland||10||10||0||5||5||0||15||15||0||1.62 × 10–10||7.10 × 10–9||0|
|United Kingdom||6||6||0||3||3||0||9||9||0||1.18 × 10–10||2.37 × 10–10||0|
|Mean||18||17||1||12||12||0||30||29||1||7.52 × 10–10||1.57 × 10–9#||6.48 × 10–11|
*NA, not applicable.
†We considered only countries in western Europe with a population >1 million persons.
‡PA, calculated risk that a given pet is rabid on a given day in a country in western Europe relative to pet transport.
§AC, calculated risk that a given cat is rabid on a given day in a country in western Europe relative to pet transport.
¶PAD, calculated risk that a given dog is rabid on a given day in a country in western Europe relative to pet transport.
#PAD was lower if the dog had no signs of rabies (9.25 x10−10–1.03 x 10−10 for dogs with no signs of rabies and 6.44 x 10−9–6.44 x 10−6 for dogs with signs of rabies assuming that 90%–99.99% had no signs of rabies on a given day).