Figure 3. Number of ascertained coronavirus disease (identified cases over time calculated by mathematical model) with adults reducing their contact by 25% (A, B); 75% (C, D); and 95% (E, F). We used parameter values of R0 = 3, γ = 1/5.02, σ = 1/5.16. Dotted lines represent the beginning and end of the 6-week social distancing interventions, after which contact rates return to normal. For panels A, C, and E, intervention starts at day 50 after identification of first case; for panels B, D, and F, intervention starts at day 80 after identification of first case.