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Volume 26, Number 9—September 2020
Research

No Change in Risk for Antibiotic-Resistant Salmonellosis from Beef, United States, 2002–2010

Solenne Costard1, Jane G. Pouzou1, Keith E. Belk, Paul S. Morley, John W. Schmidt, Tommy L. Wheeler, Terrance M. Arthur, and Francisco J. Zagmutt1Comments to Author 
Author affiliations: EpiX Analytics, Fort Collins, Colorado, USA (S. Costard, J.G. Pouzou, F.J. Zagmutt); Colorado State University, Fort Collins (K.E. Belk); Texas A&M University, Canyon, Texas, USA (P.S. Morley); US Department of Agriculture, Clay Center, Nebraska, USA (J.W. Schmidt, T.L. Wheeler, T.M. Arthur)

Main Article

Table 1

Risk calculation inputs and outputs for study of risk for antimicrobial-resistant salmonellosis from beef, United States, 2002–2010*

Input Mean (95% CrI)
2002–2010† Any years with data
Meals prepared with beef
Total
 554B (527B–581B)
 554B (527B–581B)
Ground
 326B (306B–345B)
 497B (473B–521B)
Intact
 228B (219B–238B)
 329B (319B–339B)
Meals prepared with beef carrying NTS
Total
 24.9B (22.5B–27.0B)
 24.9B (22.5B–27.0B)
Ground
 22.5B (20.3B–24.9B)
 36.3B (31.1B–42.7B)
Intact
 2.4B (2.1B–2.7B)
 4.2B (3.7B–4.6B)
Meals prepared with beef carrying NTSR (Mealres)
Total
 11.2B (9.08B–13.54B)
 11.2B (9.08B–13.54B)
Ground
 10.4B (8.3B–12.71B)
 16.22B (12.69B–20.90B)
Intact
 811M (708M–925M)
 1.30B (1.16B–1.46B)
Nontyphoidal salmonellosis attributable to beef, no. cases/100,000 US population
Total
 15.10 (0.096–44.44)
 15.10 (0.096–44.44)
Ground
 8.27 (0.028–25.99)
 8.99 (0.028–26.94)
Intact
 6.83 (0.028–20.07)
 6.75 (0.043–19.72)
Illres/100,000 US population
Total
 0.64 (0.0036,2.75)
 0.64 (0.0036–2.75)
Ground
 0.39 (0.0007,1.54)
 0.36 (0.0008–1.46)
Intact
 0.25 (0.001,1.25)
 0.31 (0.00084–1.54)
Nontyphoidal salmonellosis attributable to beef/1 million beef meals
Total
 0.74 (0.0046–2.20)
 0.74 (0.0046–2.20)
Ground
 0.70 (0.0022–2.25)
 0.78 (0.0024–2.35)
Intact
 0.81 (0.0034–2.38)
 0.78 (0.0051–2.29)
Nontyphoidal salmonellosis attributable to beef/1 million NTS beef meals
Total
 17.1 (11.4–24.0)
 17.1 (11.4–24.0)
Ground
 10.2 (6.73–14,4)
 12.9 (8.6–18.2)
Intact
 82.1 (53.8–118.1)
 70.4 (46.7–100)
Pmeal
Total
 0.031 (0.00018–0.14)
 0.031 (0.00018–0.14)
Ground
 0.031(0.000056–0.13)
 0.031 (0.000067–0.13)
Intact
 0.032 (0.0001–0.15)
 0.036 (0.00013–0.18)
Pill
Total
 1.78 (0.007–8.56)
 1.78 (0.007–8.56)
Ground
 1.15 (0.001–5.38)
 1.25 (0.001–5.21)
Intact 9.10 (0.039–47.21) 9.48 (0.032–50.19)

*Years included are 2002–2015 for ground beef, 1998–2010 for intact beef, and 2002–2010 for total beef. Calculations include measures of exposure (meals prepared from beef with various states of microbiological contamination), disease incidence (no. illness cases/100,000 US population), and different measures of disease risk per meals consumed. B, billion; Illres, antibiotic-resistant nontyphoidal salmonellosis attributable to beef; M, million; NTS, nontyphoidal Salmonella; NTSR, antibiotic-resistant NTS; Pmeal, antibiotic-resistant nontyphoidal salmonellosis/1 million beef meals; Pill, antibiotic-resistant nontyphoidal salmonellosis/1 million NTSR beef meals.
†Years 2002–2010 summary statistics reflect the data used to create the combined totals.

Main Article

1These authors contributed equally to this article.

Page created: July 10, 2020
Page updated: August 26, 2020
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The conclusions, findings, and opinions expressed by authors contributing to this journal do not necessarily reflect the official position of the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, the Public Health Service, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, or the authors' affiliated institutions. Use of trade names is for identification only and does not imply endorsement by any of the groups named above.
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