TY - JOUR AU - Kawashima, Takayuki AU - Nomura, Shuhei AU - Tanoue, Yuta AU - Yoneoka, Daisuke AU - Eguchi, Akifumi AU - Ng, Chris Fook Sheng AU - Matsuura, Kentaro AU - Shi, Shoi AU - Makiyama, Koji AU - Uryu, Shinya AU - Kawamura, Yumi AU - Takayanagi, Shinichi AU - Gilmour, Stuart AU - Miyata, Hiroaki AU - Sunagawa, Tomimasa AU - Takahashi, Takuri AU - Tsuchihashi, Yuuki AU - Kobayashi, Yusuke AU - Arima, Yuzo AU - Kanou, Kazuhiko AU - Suzuki, Motoi AU - Hashizume, Masahiro T1 - Excess All-Cause Deaths during Coronavirus Disease Pandemic, Japan, January–May 2020 T2 - Emerging Infectious Disease journal PY - 2021 VL - 27 IS - 3 SP - 789 SN - 1080-6059 AB - To provide insight into the mortality burden of coronavirus disease (COVID-19) in Japan, we estimated the excess all-cause deaths for each week during the pandemic, January–May 2020, by prefecture and age group. We applied quasi-Poisson regression models to vital statistics data. Excess deaths were expressed as the range of differences between the observed and expected number of all-cause deaths and the 95% upper bound of the 1-sided prediction interval. A total of 208–4,322 all-cause excess deaths at the national level indicated a 0.03%–0.72% excess in the observed number of deaths. Prefecture and age structure consistency between the reported COVID-19 deaths and our estimates was weak, suggesting the need to use cause-specific analyses to distinguish between direct and indirect consequences of COVID-19. KW - coronavirus disease KW - COVID-19 KW - severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 KW - SARS-CoV-2 KW - viruses KW - respiratory infections KW - zoonoses KW - excess deaths KW - all-cause deaths KW - Japan DO - 10.3201/eid2703.203925 UR - https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/eid/article/27/3/20-3925_article ER - End of Reference