Effect of Winter School Breaks on Influenza-like Illness, Argentina, 2005–2008
Roberto C. Garza
, Ricardo Basurto-Dávila, Ismael R. Ortega-Sanchez, Luis Oreste Carlino, Martin I. Meltzer, Rachel Albalak, Karina Balbuena, Pablo Orellano, Marc-Alain Widdowson, and Francisco Averhoff
Author affiliations: Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, USA (R.C. Garza, I.R. Ortega-Sanchez, M.I. Meltzer, R. Albalak, M.-A. Widdowson, F. Averhoff); Los Angeles County Department of Public Health, Los Angeles, California, USA (R. Basurto-Dávila); Ministerio de Salud de la Nación, Buenos Aires, Argentina (L.O. Carlino, K. Balbuena, P. Orellano)
Figure 1. . Observed and predicted cases of influenza-like illness (ILI), by age group, Argentina, 2005–2008. A) Observed and model-fitted predictions of incidence. B) Differences between observed cases and model predictions removing the estimated effect of winter school breaks.
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