Volume 21, Number 8—August 2015
Research
Response Strategies against Meningitis Epidemics after Elimination of Serogroup A Meningococci, Niger
Table 2
Comparison of estimated vaccine-preventable meningitis cases using different strategies of surveillance and meningococcal vaccine response before introduction of PsA-TT, Tahoua, Tillabery, and Dosso regions, Niger, 2002–September 2011
Strategy, surveillance–vaccination | Threshold* | Total no. epidemic signals | Population affected by signal | Vaccine doses in persons 1–29 y |
Vaccine preventable cases |
||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
No. |
Per 100,000 doses |
||||||||||
Total | Median | Total | Median | Total | Median | Range | |||||
Health area–health area | 7 | 844 | 14,742,136 | 10,909,180 | 10,051 | 2,282 | 0.64 | 20.92 | 5.18 | 0–595.34 | |
10 | 679 | 11,567,626 | 8,560,043 | 10,081 | 1,924 | 0.64 | 22.48 | 5.41 | 0–595.34 | ||
15 | 469 | 7,849,057 | 5,808,302 | 9,587 | 1,332 | 0.64 | 22.93 | 5.59 | 0–482.10 | ||
20 | 358 | 5,791,671 | 5,791,671 | 9,307 | 1,087 | 0.64 | 25.36 | 6.14 | 0–482.10 | ||
30 |
235 |
3,719,950 |
3,719,950 |
8,919 |
717 |
0.64 |
26.05 |
8.25 |
0–482.10 |
||
Health area–district | 7 | 844 | 47,090,036 | 34,846,626 | 250,877 | 3,739 | 4.64 | 10.73 | 3.42 | 0–70.20 | |
10 | 679 | 44,361,151 | 32,827,251 | 251,352 | 3,353 | 5.76 | 10.21 | 2.55 | 0–70.20 | ||
15 | 469 | 36,118,246 | 26,727,502 | 251,574 | 2,689 | 4.80 | 10.06 | 2.32 | 0–69.16 | ||
20 | 358 | 29,902,138 | 22,127,582 | 250,956 | 2,276 | 4.48 | 10.29 | 1.75 | 0–58.53 | ||
30 |
235 |
23,115,711 |
17,105,626 |
244,380 |
1,612 |
2.88 |
9.43 |
1.27 |
0–58.53 |
||
District–district | 2 | 92 | 29,251,073 | 21,645,794 | 244,595 | 3,103 | 12.00 | 14.33 | 6.05 | 0–61.19 | |
4 | 68 | 21,069,851 | 15,591,689 | 244,595 | 2,343 | 13.60 | 15.03 | 5.35 | 0–61.19 | ||
7 | 44 | 14,075,282 | 10,415,708 | 252,666 | 1,483 | 17.44 | 14.24 | 7.93 | 0–46.79 | ||
10 | 18 | 6,021,142 | 4,455,645 | 252,049 | 652 | 18.40 | 14.64 | 9.74 | 0–35.28 | ||
15 | 18 | 6,021,142 | 4,455,645 | 252,049 | 652 | 18.40 | 15.64 | 9.74 | 0–35.28 |
*Weekly incidence rate thresholds were selected on the basis of best performance (sensitivity and specificity) to identify years of high annual incidence (2,534 health area years). The 3 regions had 7.5 million inhabitants.