Skip directly to site content Skip directly to page options Skip directly to A-Z link Skip directly to A-Z link Skip directly to A-Z link
Volume 19, Number 11—November 2013
Research

Capture–Recapture Method for Estimating Annual Incidence of Imported Dengue, France, 2007–2010

Guy La RucheComments to Author , Dominique Dejour-Salamanca, Pascale Bernillon, Isabelle Leparc-Goffart, Martine Ledrans, Alexis Armengaud, Monique Debruyne, Gérard-Antoine Denoyel, Ségolène Brichler, Laetitia Ninove, Philippe Desprès, and Marc Gastellu-Etchegorry
Author affiliations: Institut de Veille Sanitaire, Saint-Maurice, France (G. La Ruche, D. Dejour-Salamanca, P. Bernillon, M. Gastellu-Etchegorry); Institut de Recherche Biomédicale des Armées, Marseille, France (I. Leparc-Goffart); Cellule de l'Institut de Veille Sanitaire aux Antilles-Guyane, Fort-de-France, Martinique, France (M. Ledrans); Cellule de l'Institut de Veille Sanitaire Sud, Marseille (A. Armengaud); Cerba Laboratory, Saint-Ouen l’Aumone, France (M. Debruyne); Biomnis Laboratory, Lyon, France (G.-A. Denoyel); Avicenne University Hospital, Bobigny, France (S. Brichler); Institut Hospitalo-Universitaire Méditerranée-Infection, Marseille (L. Ninove); Institut Pasteur National Reference Laboratory for Arboviruses, Paris, France (P. Desprès)

Main Article

Table 2

Annual number of dengue cases estimated from mandatory notification and laboratory network surveillance systems by using Chao estimator, stratified according to geographic area and period of the year, metropolitan France, 2007–2010*

No. observed cases
 Chao estimator
System
Year, region, period
 MN
 LN
 Common cases
Estimated no. cases (95% CI)
 Completeness of MN, % (95% CI)
 Completeness of LN, % (95% CI)
2007
Southeast, May–Nov 4 21 4 39 (26–87) 10.2 (2.4–17.2) 53.8 (12.6–90.4)
Other areas, remainder of year 52 365 21 2,070 (1,444–3,071) 2.5 (1.6–3.9) 17.6 (10.9–27.1)
Total
 56
 386
 25
2,109 (1,481–3,109)
 2.7 (1.6–4.0)
 18.3 (11.3–27.5)
2008
Southeast, May–Nov 6 11 4 18 (14–37) 33.2 (7.6–44.8) 60.9 (13.9–82.2)
Other areas, remainder of year 58 293 42 733 (595–938) 7.9 (5.9–10.0) 40.0 (30.0–50.6)
Total
 64
 304
 46
751 (613–956)
 8.5 (6.3–10.6)
 40.5 (29.8–50.5)
2009
Southeast, May–Nov 5 19 4 36 (24–79) 13.9 (3.1–22.9) 52.8 (11.6–87.2)
Other areas, remainder of year 63 331 38 1,021 (806–1,339) 6.2 (4.5–8.1) 32.4 (23.7–42.4)
Total
 68
 350
 42
1,057 (841–1,375)
 6.4 (4.6–8.2)
 33.1 (23.6–42.4)
2010
Southeast, May–Nov 91 174 75 234 (216–264) 38.9 (33.2–42.7) 74.3 (63.6–81.6)
Other areas, remainder of year 494 1,951 354 4,222 (3,932–4,558) 11.7 (10.8–12.6) 46.2 (42.7–49.7)
Total
 585
 2,125
 429
4,456 (4,164–4,792)
 13.1 (12.2–14.1)
 47.7 (44.2–51.1)
2007–2010
Southeast, May–Nov 106 225 87 327 (294–382) 32.4 (17.2–35.7) 68.8 (36.5–75.8)
Other areas, remainder of year 667 2,940 455 8,047 (7,217–9,045) 8.3 (7.1–9.2) 36.5 (31.1–40.7)
Total 773 3,165 542 8,374 (7,543–9,371) 9.2 (8.2–10.7) 37.8 (33.5–43.8)
[[tablefoot]]

Main Article

Page created: December 09, 2013
Page updated: December 09, 2013
Page reviewed: December 09, 2013
The conclusions, findings, and opinions expressed by authors contributing to this journal do not necessarily reflect the official position of the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, the Public Health Service, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, or the authors' affiliated institutions. Use of trade names is for identification only and does not imply endorsement by any of the groups named above.
file_external