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Volume 29, Number 9—September 2023
Synopsis

Participatory Mathematical Modeling Approach for Policymaking during the First Year of the COVID-19 Crisis, Jordan

Saverio Bellizzi1Comments to Author , Nicholas Letchford1, Keyrellous Adib1, William J.M. Probert, Penelope Hancock, Lora Alsawalha, Alessio Santoro, Maria C. Profili, Ricardo Aguas, Christian Popescu, Lubna Al Ariqi, Lisa White, Wail Hayajneh, Nathir Obeidat, and Pierre Nabeth
Author affiliations: World Health Organization Jordan Country Office, Amman, Jordan (S. Bellizzi, L. Alsawalha, A. Santoro, M.C. Profili, C. Popescu); World Health Organization Regional Office for Eastern Mediterranean, Cairo, Egypt (N. Letchford, K. Adib, W.J.M. Probert, Penelope Hancock, L. Al Ariqi, P. Nabeth); Nuffield Department of Medicine, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK (R. Aguas, L. White); SSM Health Cardinal Glennon Children's Hospital, St. Louis University, St. Louis, Missouri, USA (W. Hayajneh); Jordan University Hospital, Amman (N. Obeidat)

Main Article

Figure 1

Epidemiologic indicators and PHSMs in a COVID-19 modeling study, Jordan, March 2020–January 2021. A) Timeline of implemented PHSMs. Colors indicate individual PHSMs; level of shading represents the coverage of each intervention in the timeline, ranging from 0% to 100%. B) Estimated Rt, calculated using the EpiEstem package in R (https://CRAN.R-project.org/package=EpiEstim), which presents the number of new case-patients infected by an average case-patient at time t. Green shading indicates 95% CI. C) Daily incidence and mortality rates for COVID-19 in Jordan. PHSM, public health and social measure; Rt, effective reproduction number.

Figure 1. Epidemiologic indicators and PHSMs in a COVID-19 modeling study, Jordan, March 2020–January 2021. A) Timeline of implemented PHSMs. Colors indicate individual PHSMs; level of shading represents the coverage of each intervention in the timeline, ranging from 0% to 100%. B) Estimated Rt, calculated using the EpiEstem package in R (https://CRAN.R-project.org/package=EpiEstim), which presents the number of new case-patients infected by an average case-patient at time t. Green shading indicates 95% CI. C) Daily incidence and mortality rates for COVID-19 in Jordan. PHSM, public health and social measure; Rt, effective reproduction number.

Main Article

1These first authors contributed equally to this article.

Page created: July 06, 2023
Page updated: August 20, 2023
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